Discrete-valued time series;
Integer-valued autoregression model;
Non-stationary time series;
Testing based on variances;
Unit root test;
LEAST-SQUARES ESTIMATOR;
RANDOM-WALK;
REGRESSION;
SERIES;
D O I:
10.1080/03610918.2020.1788584
中图分类号:
O21 [概率论与数理统计];
C8 [统计学];
学科分类号:
020208 ;
070103 ;
0714 ;
摘要:
We present a new method of testing for unit roots in the INAR(1) model based on estimated variances. We present detailed simulation evidence regarding the performance of the new test statistics that show that our method is more powerful than the Dickey-Fuller tests especially in nearly unit root circumstances. We evaluate the presence of a unit root in two empirical time series, namely, the number of schools for the blind, deaf, and the developmentally disabled people as well as the number of teachers in such schools. We find evidence of a unit root in either series.
机构:
Univ Hong Kong, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, Pokfulam Rd, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaUniv Hong Kong, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, Pokfulam Rd, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Wang, Di
Li, Wai Keung
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机构:
Univ Hong Kong, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, Pokfulam Rd, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Educ Univ Hong Kong, Dept Math & Informat Technol, Tai Po, 10 Lo Ping Rd, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaUniv Hong Kong, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, Pokfulam Rd, Hong Kong, Peoples R China