Extinction probability in a birth-death process with killing

被引:26
|
作者
Van Doorn, EA
Zeifman, AI
机构
[1] Univ Twente, Dept Appl Math, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands
[2] Vologda State Pedagog Univ, Vologda, Russia
[3] RAS, CEMI, Vologda Sci Cooridinate Ctr, Vologda, Russia
关键词
absorption; decay parameter; extinction time; persistence time; rate of convergence; logarithmic norm;
D O I
10.1239/jap/1110381380
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We study birth-death processes on the nonnegative integers, where {1, 2, . . . } is an irreducible class and 0 an absorbing state, with the additional feature that a transition to state 0 may occur from any state. We give a condition for absorption (extinction) to be certain and obtain the eventual absorption probabilities when absorption is not certain. We also study the rate of convergence, as t -> infinity, of the probability of absorption at time t, and relate it to the common rate of convergence of the transition probabilities that do not involve state 0. Finally, we derive upper and lower bounds for the probability of absorption at time t by applying a technique that involves the logarithmic norm of an appropriately defined operator.
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页码:185 / 198
页数:14
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