Causality Relationship Between Electricity Supply and Economic Growth: Evidence from Pakistan

被引:29
|
作者
Azam, Anam [1 ]
Rafiq, Muhammad [2 ]
Shafique, Muhammad [3 ]
Ateeq, Muhammad [4 ]
Yuan, Jiahai [1 ,5 ]
机构
[1] North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Engn & Technol, Dept Elect Engn, Taxila 47050, Pakistan
[3] City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Architecture & Civil Engn, Hong Kong 999077, Peoples R China
[4] COMSATS Univ Islamabad, Dept Mech Engn, Sahiwal Campus, Sahiwal 57000, Pakistan
[5] North China Elect Power Univ, Beijing Key Lab New Energy & Low Carbon Dev, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
electricity supply; economic growth; relationship; Pakistan; MULTIVARIATE GRANGER CAUSALITY; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION; REAL INCOME; TIME-SERIES; COINTEGRATION; EMPLOYMENT; EXPORTS; PANEL; GDP;
D O I
10.3390/en13040837
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
The long-term anticipation of electricity supply (ELS) and demand has supposed substantial prominence in the elementary investigation to offer sustainable resolutions to electricity matters. In this editorial, an outline of the organization of the electricity segment of Pakistan and analysis of historical supply and demand statistics, an up-to-date position of the contrary set of energy plans is presented. The intention of this analysis is to explore the Granger causality relationship between electricity supply and economic growth (EG) by using a multivariate context with time series statistics covering 1990 to 2015 in Pakistan. Augmented dickey-fuller (ADF) and Philips-Perron (PP) unit root tests indicate that variables are non-stationary and integrated in a similar order (1). Our findings also reveal that variables economic growths (GDP), electricity supply (ELS), investment (INV), and export (EX) are co-integrated. The study also finds the Granger causality runs from EG to ELS deprived of any feedback effect. Therefore, the policy implications from our findings indicate that electricity preservation strategies may be implemented without any economic adverse impacts.
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页数:20
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