Scenario planning for electricity supply

被引：13
|
作者：
Soontornrangson, W
Evans, DG
Fuller, RJ
Stewart, DF
机构：
[1] TISTR, Bangkok 10900, Thailand
[2] Univ Melbourne, Fac Architecture Bldg & Planning, Melbourne, Vic 3010, Australia
[3] Univ Melbourne, Fac Engn, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Int Technol Ctr, Melbourne, Vic 3010, Australia
来源：
ENERGY POLICY | 2003年 / 31卷 / 15期
关键词：
scenario planning; electricity planning; electricity supply construction plan;
D O I：
10.1016/S0301-4215(02)00231-8
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
Electricity generating systems using conventional electricity planning usually face demand-supply mismatch problems resulting from erroneous forecasting of the demand for electricity. Model simulation was used to investigate whether scenario planning would reduce such problems. It was found that scenario planning has the potential of reducing the cost of generating electricity by up to US$3000 million over a 15-year planning period for a medium-size supply system such as that of Thailand. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：1647 / 1659
页数：13
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