A Graph-based Spatiotemporal Model for Energy Markets

被引:1
|
作者
Sharma, Swati [1 ]
Iyengar, Srinivasan [2 ]
Zheng, Shun [3 ]
Kapoor, Kshitij [4 ,6 ]
Cao, Wei [3 ]
Bian, Jiang [3 ]
Kalyanaraman, Shivkumar [2 ]
Lemmon, John [5 ]
机构
[1] Microsoft Res, Redmond, WA 98052 USA
[2] Microsoft, Bangalore, Karnataka, India
[3] Microsoft Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
[4] Ashoka Univ, Sonipat, India
[5] Microsoft, Redmond, WA USA
[6] Microsoft Res India, Bangalore, Karnataka, India
关键词
Energy markets; spatiotemporal modeling; forecasting; graph neural networks; time series; flow estimation; price forecasting; node estimation; edge estimation; SMART;
D O I
10.1145/3511808.3557530
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Energy markets enable matching supply and demand through inter- and intra-region electricity trading. Due to the interconnected nature of the energy markets, the supply-demand constraints in one region can impact prices in another connected region. To incorporate these spatiotemporal relationships, we propose a novel graph neural network architecture incorporating multidimensional time-series features to forecast price (node attribute) and energy flow (edge attribute) between regions simultaneously. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first attempt to combine node and edge level forecasting in energy markets. We show that our proposed approach has a mean absolute prediction percentage error of 12.8%, which significantly beats the state-of-the-art baseline techniques.
引用
收藏
页码:4459 / 4463
页数:5
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