Present and future power generation in China

This paper provides a comprehensive description of the power generation development in recent years in China, including the increasing trend of installed capacity and generated electricity, the current situation of technology mix and primary energy consumption, and the enlargement of power grid scale. This paper analyses the possible reasons to the nationwide power shortage since 2002, including the accelerating growth of electricity-intensive industries, the increasing of residential electricity consumption due to the rising income level, and the fuel supply shortage. Using of a regressive model, this paper analyses the significant impact of electricity-intensive industries on the electricity demand. Assuming the scenarios of economy development and electricity demand, this paper prospects the power generation development in the future, and describes the development roadmap to achieve the goal proposed by the China's central govemment. (c) 2007 Published by Elsevier B.V