Randomization and dynamic consistency

被引:11
|
作者
Eichberger, Juergen [1 ]
Grant, Simon [2 ,3 ]
Kelsey, David [4 ]
机构
[1] Heidelberg Univ, Dept Econ, Heidelberg, Germany
[2] Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Econ, Canberra, ACT, Australia
[3] Univ Queensland, Sch Econ, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
[4] Univ Exeter, Dept Econ, Exeter EX4 4PU, Devon, England
关键词
Ambiguity; Ex ante and ex post randomization; Dynamic consistency; Smooth ambiguity; SMOOTH AMBIGUITY MODEL; EXPECTED UTILITY; UNCERTAINTY; PREFERENCES; DEFINITION; CHOICE; RISK;
D O I
10.1007/s00199-015-0913-8
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Raiffa (Q J Econ 75:690-694, 1961) has suggested that ambiguity aversion will cause a strict preference for randomization. We show that dynamic consistency implies that individuals will be indifferent to ex ante randomizations. On the other hand, it is possible for a dynamically consistent ambiguity averse preference relation to exhibit a strict preference for some ex post randomizations. We argue that our analysis throws some light on the recent debate on the status of the smooth model of ambiguity This debate rests on whether the randomizations implicit in the set-up are viewed as being resolved before or after the (ambiguous) uncertainty.
引用
收藏
页码:547 / 566
页数:20
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