[1] Univ Oxford, Dept Zool, Biodivers Inst, Long Term Ecol Lab, Oxford OX1 3PS, England
[2] Univ Bergen, Dept Biol, N-5020 Bergen, Norway
[3] Senckenberg Res Inst, D-60325 Frankfurt, Germany
[4] Nat Hist Museum, D-60325 Frankfurt, Germany
[5] Biodivers & Climate Res Ctr, D-60325 Frankfurt, Germany
[6] Uni Bjerknes Ctr, N-5007 Bergen, Norway
[7] Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, N-5007 Bergen, Norway
[8] UCL, Environm Change Res Ctr, London WC1E 6BT, England
[9] Univ Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford OX1 3QY, England
[10] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Fac Earth & Life Sci, Dept Syst Ecol, Inst Ecol Sci, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands
[11] Univ Cape Town, Dept Geol Sci, African Climate & Dev Initiat, ZA-7701 Rondebosch, South Africa
[12] Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol Res Initiat Dynam Global Environm, Bristol BS8 1SS, Avon, England