Effect of 2021 assembly election in India on COVID-19 transmission

被引:3
|
作者
Manik, Souvik [1 ]
Pal, Sabyasachi [1 ]
Mandal, Manoj [1 ]
Hazra, Mangal [1 ]
机构
[1] Midnapore City Coll, Kuturia 721129, Paschim Medinip, India
关键词
COVID-19; pandemic; infectious disease; virus spreading; epidemiological models; effective reproduction number; political campaign;
D O I
10.1007/s11071-021-07041-7
中图分类号
TH [机械、仪表工业];
学科分类号
0802 ;
摘要
India is one of the countries in the world which is badly affected by the COVID-19 second wave. Assembly election in four states and a union territory of India was taken place during March-May 2021 when the COVID-19 second wave was close to its peak and affected a huge number of people. We studied the impact of assembly election on the effective contact rate and the effective reproduction number of COVID-19 using different epidemiological models like SIR, SIRD, and SEIR. We also modeled the effective reproduction number for all election-bound states using different mathematical functions. We separately studied the case of all election-bound states and found all the states showed a distinct increase in the effective contact rate and the effective reproduction number during the election-bound time and just after that compared to pre-election time. States, where elections were conducted in single-phase, showed less increase in the effective contact rate and the reproduction number. The election commission imposed extra measures from the first week of April 2021 to restrict big campaign rallies, meetings, and different political activities. The effective contact rate and the reproduction number showed a trend to decrease for few states due to the imposition of the restrictions. We also compared the effective contact rate, and the effective reproduction number of all election-bound states and the rest of India and found all the parameters related to the spread of virus for election-bound states are distinctly high compared to the rest of India.
引用
收藏
页码:1343 / 1356
页数:14
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Effect of 2021 assembly election in India on COVID-19 transmission
    Souvik Manik
    Sabyasachi Pal
    Manoj Mandal
    Mangal Hazra
    Nonlinear Dynamics, 2022, 107 : 1343 - 1356
  • [2] Epidemic Trend and Effect of COVID-19 Transmission in India during Lockdown Phase
    Swain, Ranjit Prasad
    Sahu, Pratap Kumar
    JOURNAL OF PHARMACEUTICAL RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL, 2020, 32 (39)
  • [3] The Effect of COVID-19 Transmission on Cryptocurrencies
    Dardouri, Nesrine
    Aguir, Abdelkader
    Smida, Mounir
    RISKS, 2023, 11 (08)
  • [4] The COVID-19 Crisis in the Alternative forGermany's 2021 Federal Election Campaign
    Rensmann, Lars
    de Zee, Thijs
    GERMAN POLITICS AND SOCIETY, 2022, 40 (04): : 69 - 103
  • [5] The complex causes of India's 2021 COVID-19 surge
    Visaria, Aayush
    Dharamdasani, Tina
    LANCET, 2021, 397 (10293): : 2464 - 2464
  • [6] COVID-19 in 2021
    Lundstrom, Kenneth
    Aljabali, Alaa A. A.
    VIRUSES-BASEL, 2021, 13 (10):
  • [7] COVID-19 in India: transmission dynamics, epidemiological characteristics, testing, recovery and effect of weather
    Chanda, Arnab
    EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION, 2020, 148
  • [8] Peltzman effect and resurgence of COVID-19 in India
    Simi Thankappan
    Sherin Nedumpillil
    Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine, 2021, 14 (05) : 193 - 194
  • [9] Peltzman effect and resurgence of COVID-19 in India
    Thankappan, Simi
    Nedumpillil, Sherin
    ASIAN PACIFIC JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE, 2021, 14 (05) : 193 - 194
  • [10] Effect of Covid-19 pandemic on tuberculosis in India
    Shrivastava, Jyotipriyadarshini
    NATIONAL MEDICAL JOURNAL OF INDIA, 2022, 35 (03): : 192 - 192