Probability theory and perception of randomness: Bridging "ought" and "is"

被引:2
|
作者
Sun, Yanlong [1 ]
Wang, Hongbin [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Texas Hlth Sci Ctr Houston, Sch Biomed Informat, Houston, TX 77030 USA
[2] Tsinghua Univ, Dept Psychol, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
关键词
HOT HAND; GAMBLERS FALLACY; RANDOM SEQUENCES; 3; HEADS; TIME; EVENTS; CHOICE; UNCERTAINTY; HEURISTICS; JUDGMENT;
D O I
10.1017/S0140525X11000653
中图分类号
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要
We argue that approaches adhering to normative systems can be as fruitful as those by descriptive systems. In measuring people's perception of randomness, discrepancies between human behavior and normative models could have resulted from unknown properties of the models, and it does not necessarily lead to the conclusion that people are irrational or that the normative system has to be abandoned.
引用
收藏
页码:271 / 272
页数:2
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