Does bitcoin hedge against the economic policy uncertainty: based on the continuous wavelet analysis

被引:9
|
作者
Cai, Yuxin [1 ]
Zhu, Zeqi [2 ]
Xue, Qi [1 ]
Song, Xinyu [1 ]
机构
[1] Shanghai Univ, Sch Management, Shanghai, Peoples R China
[2] Columbia Univ, Fu Fdn, Sch Engn & Appl Sci, New York, NY USA
关键词
Bitcoin; economic policy uncertainty; lead-lag relationship; continuous wavelet analysis; GOLD PRICE; CO-MOVEMENTS; US; COMMODITIES; CAUSALITY; MARKETS; DOLLAR;
D O I
10.1080/15140326.2022.2072674
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This article aims to test a causal nexus between bitcoin market and economic policy uncertainty. We use the continuous wavelet analysis to investigate lead-lag relationship between bitcoin market and economic policy uncertainty in different time-frequency domains. Our findings show the negative relationship between bitcoin returns and economic policy uncertainty around the period of bitcoin's currency recognition and COVIC-19 pandemic crisis both daily and monthly time series test. Furthermore, we find that the causality relationship between bitcoin and economic policy uncertainty is relatively indistinct around the period of bitcoin's currency recognition, while bitcoin returns are leading economic policy uncertainty changes during COVID-19 pandemic crisis, indicating the economic policy uncertainty fluctuation trend can refer to the fluctuation of bitcoin, bitcoin can be viewed as a leading indicator, but it could not be employed as a safe-haven asset hedge against uncertainty during the period of COVID-19 pandemic.
引用
收藏
页码:983 / 996
页数:14
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