The impact of sectoral shifts and the aggregate labour market on unemployment duration

This study investigates the effects of sectoral shifts among industries on unemployment duration. These effects are decomposed into two subeffects: the overall effect and the specific industrial effect. The former is equal for all of the unemployed in all industries, while the latter depends on the tightness of the demand for labour of the industry in question. In addition, the impact of the aggregate labour market on unemployment duration is also explored. The empirical results show that most of the overall and all of the specific effects are significant, indicating that the sectoral shifts among industries as well as the aggregate labour market do in fact impact unemployment duration, and that the effects on unemployment duration vary in terms of their tightness in the different industrial labour markets.