The philosopher's paradox: How to make a coherent decision in the Newcomb Problem

被引:0
|
作者
Viger, Christopher [1 ]
Hoefer, Carl [2 ,3 ]
Viger, Daniel [4 ]
机构
[1] Western Univ, Dept Philosophy, 1151 Richmond St, London, ON N6A 3K7, Canada
[2] ICREA, Pg Lluis Co 23, Barcelona 08010, Spain
[3] Univ Barcelona, Dept Filosofia, Carrer Montalegre 6,4a Planta, Barcelona 08001, Spain
[4] Western Univ, Fac Law, 1151 Richmond St, London, ON N6A 3K7, Canada
关键词
Newcomb's Problem; rationality; counterfactuals; psychological coherence; dominant strategy; common cause; COUNTERFACTUALS; CONDITIONALS; CHANCE;
D O I
10.1387/theoria.20040
中图分类号
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要
We offer a novel argument for one-boxing in Newcomb's Problem. The intentional states of a rational person are psychologically coherent across time, and rational decisions are made against this backdrop. We compare this coherence constraint with a golf swing, which to be effective must include a follow-through after the ball is in flight. Decisions, like golf swings, are extended processes, and their coherence with other psychological states of a player in the Newcomb scenario links her choice with the way she is predicted in a common cause structure. As a result, the standard argument for two-boxing is mistaken.
引用
收藏
页码:407 / 421
页数:15
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