Serum CXC chemokine ligand-12 as a potential predictor for in-hospital major adverse events after severe traumatic brain injury

Background: CXC chemokine ligand-12 (CXCL12) is associated with brain inflammation. We attempted to discern whether serum CXCL12 is a promising predictor for in-hospital major adverse events (IMAEs) after traumatic brain injury (TBI), including death, acute lung injury, acute traumatic coagulopathy, progressive hemorrhagic injury and posttraumatic cerebral infarction. Methods: In this prospective, observational study, serum CXCL12 levels were quantified among 117 severe TBI patients. We investigated the relation of CXCL12 levels to IMAEs using a multivariate analysis. Results: Median value of serum CXCL12 concentrations was substantially higher in patients with IMAEs than in other remainders (21.1 vs. 11.6 ng/ml). With an increasing number of IMAEs, serum CXCL12 concentrations were significantly increased (r = 0.702). Serum CXCL12 independently predicted IMAEs (odds ratio, 1.253; 95% CI, 1.100-1.428). Serum CXCL12 concentrations discriminated risk of IMAEs with area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.759 (95% CI, 0.672-0.834), its concentrations > 16.0 ng/ml distinguished IMAEs with 83.9% sensitivity and 67.2% specificity and its combination with Glasgow coma scale scores produced the best predictive ability compared with each one alone (p = 0.0116 or 0.0004). Conclusion: Serum CXCL12 concentrations are independently associated with IMAEs following TBI, substantializing serum CXCL12 as a useful prognostic biomarker for head trauma patients.