The role of demography on per capita output growth and saving rates

被引:7
|
作者
Sanchez-Romero, Miguel [1 ]
机构
[1] Max Planck Inst Demog Res, D-18057 Rostock, Germany
关键词
Demography; Saving rates; Investment rates; Income growth; Overlapping generations; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; DEPENDENCY RATES; INVERSE PROJECTION; POPULATION-GROWTH; BACK-PROJECTION; ASIA; PRODUCTIVITY; ACCUMULATION; TRANSITION; FERTILITY;
D O I
10.1007/s00148-012-0447-3
中图分类号
C921 [人口统计学];
学科分类号
摘要
Computable general equilibrium (CGE) models and "convergence models" differ in their assessment of the extent to which demography influences economic growth. Here, I show that CGE models produce results similar to those of convergence models when more detailed demographic information is used. To do so, I implement a CGE model to explain Taiwan's economic miracle during the period 1965-2005. I find that Taiwan's demographic transition accounts for 22 % of per capita output growth and 17.7 % of investment rate for the period 1965-2005. Moreover, this paper confirms most of the literature written on the role of demography on per capita output growth and saving rates since the seminar article by Coale and Hoover (1958).
引用
收藏
页码:1347 / 1377
页数:31
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