Non-adaptive predictor and its application

Prediction is one of the basic problems for the study of dynamic system analysis, A nonadaptive predictor and its application is introduced At first, the mathematical model of time series describing the conditions of the system must be established. Then, optimal prediction should be done based upon the model is the key point of modeling and prediction The critical value of F-test for the simple and practical determination of the order of model is the key point of modeling and prediction. The critical value of F-test for the simple and practical determination of the order of model, based upon AIC rule has been developed. An example of the application of non-adaptive prediction in engineering is presented also.