CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECTS ON FUTURE WAVES AND TYPHOONS

This paper introduces projection of future wave climate and analysis of differences between present and future ocean wave climate using the data of high-resolution atmospheric General Circulation Model and a global wave model. Secondly, a stochastic typhoon model for estimating characteristics of typhoons in both present and future climate conditions is described. Differences of statistical characteristics between present and future typhoons estimated from the GCM projections are taken into account in the stochastic model of future typhoons. Finally, the failure probability of seawalls is briefly described concerning the effects of sea level rise and waves.