Coping with drought risk: empirical analysis of farmers' drought adaptation in the south-west Netherlands

被引:63
|
作者
van Duinen, Rianne [1 ,2 ]
Filatova, Tatiana [2 ,3 ]
Geurts, Peter [4 ]
van der Veen, Anne [1 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Univ Twente, Dept Water Engn & Management, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands
[2] Deltares, Dept Econ Scenarios & Innovat, NL-3508 AL Utrecht, Netherlands
[3] Univ Twente, Ctr Studies Technol & Sustainable Dev, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands
[4] Univ Twente, Dept Publ Adm, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands
[5] Univ Twente, Dept Urban & Reg Planning & Geoinformat Managemen, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands
关键词
Drought; Adaptation; Agriculture; Protection motivation theory; The Netherlands; CLIMATE-CHANGE; CONSERVATION PRACTICES; PROTECTION MOTIVATION; ADOPTION; BEHAVIOR; OPTIMIZATION; AGRICULTURE; PERCEPTION; MODEL;
D O I
10.1007/s10113-014-0692-y
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Climate change projections show that periods of droughts are likely to increase, causing decreasing water availability, salinization, and consequently farm income loss in the south-west Netherlands. Adaptation is the key to decrease a farmer's drought vulnerability and to secure the agricultural sector's performance at the aggregate level. Possible adaptation strategies include responses at the field scale, farm-level measures and joint adaptation measures. Using the results of a recent survey, we explore farmers' adaptive behaviour to drought. We give detailed insight into the influence of risk appraisal and coping appraisal factors on the current level of farmers' adaptation motivation and the adoption of three types of adaptive responses. Our findings show that behavioural factors make a significant contribution to explain the actual level of farmers' adaptation motivation. Furthermore, we find that components of threat and coping appraisal influence adoption decisions differently across three types of drought adaptation measures.
引用
收藏
页码:1081 / 1093
页数:13
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