Is the price level determined by the needs of fiscal solvency?

被引:138
|
作者
Canzoneri, MB [1 ]
Cumby, RE [1 ]
Diba, BT [1 ]
机构
[1] Georgetown Univ, Dept Econ, Washington, DC 20057 USA
来源
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW | 2001年 / 91卷 / 05期
关键词
D O I
10.1257/aer.91.5.1221
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The fiscal theory, of price determination suggests that if primary, surpluses evolve independently, of government debt, the equilibrium price level "jumps" to assure fiscal solvency. In this non-Ricardian regime, fiscal policy-not monetary policy-provides the nominal anchor. Alternatively, in a Ricardian regime, primary surpluses are expected to respond to debt in a way that assures fiscal solvency, and the price level is determined in conventional ways. This paper argues that Ricardian regimes are as theoretically, plausible as non-Ricardian regimes, and provide a more plausible interpretation of certain aspects of the postwar U.S. data than do non-Ricardian regimes.
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页码:1221 / 1238
页数:18
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