Decomposition of time series models in state-space form

被引:22
|
作者
Godolphin, E [1 ]
Triantafyllopoulos, K
机构
[1] Univ London Royal Holloway & Bedford New Coll, Dept Math, Egham TW20 0EX, Surrey, England
[2] Univ Newcastle Upon Tyne, Sch Math & Stat, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 7RU, Tyne & Wear, England
关键词
decompositions of time series; dynamic models; generalized linear models Bayesian forecasting; state-space models; Kalman filtering;
D O I
10.1016/j.csda.2004.12.012
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
A methodology is proposed for decompositions of a very wide class of time series, including normal and non-normal time series, which are represented in state-space form. In particular the linked signals generated from dynamic generalized linear models are decomposed into a suitable sum of noise-free dynamic linear models. A number of relevant general results are given and two important cases, consisting of normally distributed data and binomially distributed data, are examined in detail. The methods are illustrated by considering examples involving both linear trend and seasonal component time series. Published by Elsevier B.V.
引用
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页码:2232 / 2246
页数:15
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