Investigation and analysis of historical Domino effects statistic

被引:9
|
作者
Chen Yinting [1 ]
Zhang Mingguang [1 ]
Guo Peijie [2 ]
Jiang Juncheng [1 ]
机构
[1] Nanjing Univ Technol, Coll Urban Construct & Safety Engn, Jiangsu Key Lab Urban & Ind Safety, Zhongshan North Rd 200, Nanjing 210009, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
[2] Special Equipment Safety Supervis Inspect Inst Ji, Nanjing 210009, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Domine effect; historical accident survey; chemical process; Domino sequence; process linkege; CYLINDRICAL VESSELS; PROBABILITY; MISSILES; IMPACT; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.proeng.2012.08.136
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
318 Domino accidents (from 1951 to 2012) were collected and analyzed to get their main factors, such as distribution of accidents, causes, involved substances and Domino sequences. The statistics showed that 226 Domino accidents (71.1%) occurred in developed countries and 92 accidents (28.9%) occurred in developing countries. 41.8% of the accidents occurred in storage areas. Compared with developed countries, human failure was most likely to cause an accident in China. Flammable substances associated with 237 cases (74.5%). The most frequent secondary/tertiary Domino sequence was explosion ? fire (24.8%)/explosion ? fire ? explosion (7.9%). Situation of Domino accidents in China had been analyzed and a definition of process linkage Domino effect had been proposed. (C) 2012 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:152 / 158
页数:7
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