Forecasting Maturity of IoT Technologies in Top 5 Countries Using Bibliometrics and Patent Analysis

被引:2
|
作者
Lokuhitige, Sanju [1 ]
Brown, Suzana [1 ]
机构
[1] SUNY Korea, Dept Technol & Soc, Incheon, South Korea
关键词
IoT; technology forecasting; bibliometrics;
D O I
10.1109/CyberC.2017.35
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In this paper, we test two forecasting models, Fisher-Pry and Gompertz, to predict IoT maturity level, and find that Fisher-Pry is the most suitable model. We also compare the maturity level across 5 top countries in IoT technology and discover that China is the driving force of IoT technology development with the most number of patents filings and second highest publications rate. Fisher-Pry models, based on publications and on patents, are both identical, reflecting that intensive research efforts and the industry adoption have been developing simultaneously.
引用
收藏
页码:338 / 341
页数:4
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