How often do extreme events occur?

被引:0
|
作者
Naef, F [1 ]
机构
[1] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, CH-8093 Zurich, Switzerland
关键词
extreme floods; flood frequency analysis; historical floods; runoff processes; return period; rainfall-runoff model simulation;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The estimation of return periods of extreme events can be improved by combining historical data, rainfall-runoff modelling and flood frequency analysis. Discharge records can often be extended using historic events. A better understanding of the relevant runoff formation processes helps to assess the magnitude of extreme floods. To this purpose, plots of 60 m(2) with different soils and geology were exposed to artificial rains of up to 100 mm h(-1) for several hours and relevant flows monitored. Based on these results, maps of areas with different reactions to precipitation were developed and used for runoff computations. Examples of combined analyses of historic events, flood frequency analysis and simulations with a model based on plots are presented.
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页码:65 / 70
页数:6
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