Non-zero probabilities for universal generalizations

被引:1
|
作者
Holm, Ruurik
机构
[1] Roihuvuorentie 20 H 80, Helsinki
关键词
Carnap; Inductive logic; Universal quantification; Probability; Updating rule; Inductive method;
D O I
10.1007/s11229-013-0244-x
中图分类号
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要
This article discusses the classical problem of zero probability of universal generalizations in Rudolf Carnap's inductive logic. A correction rule for updating the inductive method on the basis of evidence will be presented. It will be shown that this rule has the effect that infinite streams of uniform evidence assume a non-zero limit probability. Since Carnap's inductive logic is based on finite domains of individuals, the probability of the corresponding universal quantification changes accordingly. This implies that universal generalizations can receive positive prior and posterior probabilities, even for (countably) infinite domains.
引用
收藏
页码:4001 / 4007
页数:7
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