The Study of Forecasting and Early Warning Model of Geological Disasters in Jilin Province

被引：0

作者：

Zhang, Yichen ^{[1
]}

Zhang, Jiquan

Wang, Jieyu ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Jilin Inst Geoenvironm Monitoring, Changchun 130021, Jilin, Peoples R China

来源：

INNOVATIVE THEORIES AND METHODS FOR RISK ANALYSIS AND CRISIS RESPONSE | 2012年 / 21卷

关键词：

Geological Disasters; Forecasting and Early Warning Model; Extension theory evaluation model; Jilin Province;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

TP18 [人工智能理论];

学科分类号：

081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;

摘要：

Forecasting and Early Warning Model of Geological Disasters plays an important role in Disaster Prevention and Mitigation. Paper based on Dynamic failure factors, such as the rock and soil type, geological formations, vegetation, precipitation and human engineering activities. Take full account of the status quo of geological disasters in strength, distribution rules and trends. Use the optimal combination of empowerment theory and Extension theory evaluation model zone early warning of Jilin Province. On this basis, using Pre-effective rainfall principle to establish the forecasting and early warning model of Geological Disasters in Jilin Province. The application in 2011 flood season shows that the model conforms to the development characteristics of the geological disasters in Jilin Province.

引用

页码：318 / 323

页数：6