Scaling and memory in the return intervals of realized volatility

被引:28
|
作者
Ren, Fei [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Gu, Gao-Feng [1 ,2 ,4 ]
Zhou, Wei-Xing [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ,5 ]
机构
[1] E China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Business, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China
[2] E China Univ Sci & Technol, Res Ctr Econophys, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China
[3] E China Univ Sci & Technol, Engn Res Ctr Proc Syst Engn, Minist Educ, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China
[4] E China Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Sci, Shanghai 200237, Peoples R China
[5] Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Fictitious Econ & Data Sci, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Econophysics; Realized volatility; Return interval; Scaling; Long memory; WAITING-TIME DISTRIBUTION; FINANCIAL-MARKETS; CHINESE STOCKS; RARE EVENTS; POWER-LAW; INDEX;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2009.08.009
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
We perform return interval analysis of 1-min realized volatility defined by the sum of absolute high-frequency intraday returns for the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSEC) and 22 constituent stocks of SSEC. The scaling behavior and memory effect of the return intervals between successive realized volatilities above a certain threshold q are carefully investigated. In comparison with the volatility defined by the closest tick prices to the minute marks, the return interval distribution for the realized volatility shows a better scaling behavior since 20 stocks (out of 22 stocks) and the SSEC pass the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test and exhibit scaling behaviors, among which the scaling function for 8 stocks could be approximated well by a stretched exponential distribution revealed by the KS goodness-of-fit test under the significance level of 5%. The improved scaling behavior is further confirmed by the relation between the fitted exponent gamma and the threshold q. In addition, the similarity of the return interval distributions for different stocks is also observed for the realized volatility. The investigation of the conditional probability distribution and the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) show that both short-term and long-term memory exists in the return intervals of realized volatility. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:4787 / 4796
页数:10
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