What is a dangerous climate change?

被引:52
|
作者
Parry, ML
Carter, TR
Hulme, M
机构
[1] FINNISH METEOROL INST, CLIMATE CHANGE PROGRAMME, SF-00101 HELSINKI, FINLAND
[2] UNIV E ANGLIA, CLIMAT RES UNIT, NORWICH NR4 7TJ, NORFOLK, ENGLAND
关键词
D O I
10.1016/0959-3780(96)00002-7
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
A central question behind Article 2 of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change is: What levels of climate change should (as a minimum) be avoided in order to avert significant threat to natural ecosystems, food production and economic development? This paper defines what is implied by a 'dangerous' climate change in terms of (a) thresholds of weather or climate events and (b) critical levels of climate change. It describes a method of identifying these thresholds and critical levels, and illustrates how these can assist the UNFCCC process. Copyright (C) 1996 Elsevier Science Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:1 / 6
页数:6
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