Single- and two-stage cross-sectional and time series benchmarking procedures for small area estimation

被引:14
|
作者
Pfeffermann, Danny [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Sikov, Anna [3 ]
Tiller, Richard [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Southampton, Southampton Stat Sci Res Inst, Southampton SO17 1BJ, Hants, England
[2] Cent Bur Stat, Jerusalem, Israel
[3] Hebrew Univ Jerusalem, Dept Stat, IL-91905 Jerusalem, Israel
[4] US Bur Labor Stat, Washington, DC 20212 USA
关键词
Autocorrelated sampling errors; Generalized least squares; Internal benchmarking; Optimality; Recursive filtering; State-space models; Trend and seasonal effects; PREDICTION; MODELS; ERROR; BAYES;
D O I
10.1007/s11749-014-0398-y
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
This article is divided into two parts. In the first part, we review and study the properties of single-stage cross-sectional and time series benchmarking procedures that have been proposed in the literature in the context of small area estimation. We compare cross-sectional and time series benchmarking empirically, using data generated from a time series model which complies with the familiar Fay-Herriot model at any given time point. In the second part, we review cross-sectional methods proposed for benchmarking hierarchical small areas and develop a new two-stage benchmarking procedure for hierarchical time series models. The latter procedure is applied to monthly unemployment estimates in Census Divisions and States of the USA.
引用
收藏
页码:631 / 666
页数:36
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