How does the universal two-child policy affect fertility behavior?

被引：4
|
作者：
Ge, Run [1 ]
Shi, Xinzheng [2 ,3 ]
机构：
[1] Shanghai Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Publ Econ & Adm, 777 Guoding Rd, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China
[2] Tsinghua Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
[3] Tsinghua Univ, Natl Ctr Econ Res, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
来源：
CHINA ECONOMIC QUARTERLY INTERNATIONAL | 2023年 / 3卷 / 04期
关键词：
Universal two-child policy; Fertility behavior; Three-child policy; ONE-CHILD; TRADE-OFF; CHINA; FAMILY; IMPACT; INVESTMENT; INCENTIVES; INEQUALITY; WOMEN;
D O I：
10.1016/j.ceqi.2023.11.002
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
The Chinese government implemented the universal two-child policy on January 1, 2016 to arrest the decline in the nation's birthrate and address the challenge of a rapidly aging population. We find that this policy significantly increased the possibility of having children and this effect was not attenuated from 2016 to 2018. This policy can explain 14.8% of the average number of newborns in 2016-2018. Our back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests that the three-child policy implemented in 2021 will bring additional 283.2 thousand newborns each year.
引用
收藏
页码：227 / 237
页数：11
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