Identification of potentially suitable areas for nucleosides of Pinellia Ternata (Thunb.) Breit using ecological niche modeling

Pinellia ternata, a traditional Chinese medicine, is well-renowned for its effectiveness in treating sickness such as coughs with excessive phlegm, vomiting, and nausea. The nucleoside components of P. ternata have been shown to have antitumor activity. Identifying potential growth areas of high-quality P. ternata based on the content of five nucleoside components and the identification of climatic features suitable for the growth of P. ternata will help to conserve P. ternata resources with targeted bioactive compounds. Using high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC), we determined five nucleoside components, uridine, guanosine, adenosine, inosine, and thymidine, at 27 sampling points of P. ternata collected from 21 municipalities of 11 provinces in China. We used ecological niche modeling to identify the major environmental factors associated with the high metabolite content of P. ternata, including precipitation of the warmest quarter, annual mean temperature, annual precipitation, and isothermality. Areas with high suitability for the five nucleosides were found in Hebei, Shandong, Shanxi, Gansu, Sichuan, Guizhou, and Hubei Provinces. Under the RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5 scenarios, the areas with a suitable distribution decreased and some areas with high suitability became areas with low suitability. Overall, our findings advance our knowledge of the ecological impacts of climate change and provide a valuable reference for conserving and sustainably developing high-quality P. ternata resources in the future.