Effects of energy price shock on the macroeconomic indicators of India: a new measure

被引:0
|
作者
Raj, Karan [1 ]
Sharma, Devashish [2 ]
机构
[1] Natl Council Appl Econ Res, Dept Trade Technol & Skills, New Delhi, India
[2] Univ Warwick, Dept Econ, Coventry Campus, Coventry, W Midlands, England
关键词
Energy sector; Time series analysis; Coal; Regression; Crude oil; Econometric; Autoregressive; Fossil fuel; Modelling; Natural gas; OIL-PRICE; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; MONETARY-POLICY; CURRENT ACCOUNT; SUPPLY SHOCKS; INFLATION; US; FLUCTUATIONS; PERFORMANCE; SINGAPORE;
D O I
10.1108/IJESM-08-2023-0007
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to construct a new index to assess the impact of an energy price shock on macroeconomic indicators of India. This paper also shows a comparative analysis of the constructed index along with pre-existing World Bank and International Monetary Fund indices on energy.Design/methodology/approachThis paper uses three vector autoregressions and compute the long-term impact of the indices on the considered macroeconomic variables through impulse response functions.FindingsThis paper finds that an energy price shock has a detrimental impact on the macroeconomic indicators of India in the long run. This study also finds that the constructed index acts as a relatively more sensitive index in comparison to the International Monetary Fund and World Bank indices, which is bespoke to a developing economy case. This sensitivity is ascribed to dynamic weighting for a different basket of energy components, which are more pertinent to an Indian context.Originality/valueThe novelty of this research lies in the construction of a new index and its comparison to the existing ones. This study justifies why a developing economy would require a different measure of energy as opposed to the existing indices.
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页码:1787 / 1812
页数:26
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