Energy sector;
Time series analysis;
Coal;
Regression;
Crude oil;
Econometric;
Autoregressive;
Fossil fuel;
Modelling;
Natural gas;
OIL-PRICE;
ECONOMIC-GROWTH;
MONETARY-POLICY;
CURRENT ACCOUNT;
SUPPLY SHOCKS;
INFLATION;
US;
FLUCTUATIONS;
PERFORMANCE;
SINGAPORE;
D O I:
10.1108/IJESM-08-2023-0007
中图分类号:
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号:
12 ;
1201 ;
1202 ;
120202 ;
摘要:
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to construct a new index to assess the impact of an energy price shock on macroeconomic indicators of India. This paper also shows a comparative analysis of the constructed index along with pre-existing World Bank and International Monetary Fund indices on energy.Design/methodology/approachThis paper uses three vector autoregressions and compute the long-term impact of the indices on the considered macroeconomic variables through impulse response functions.FindingsThis paper finds that an energy price shock has a detrimental impact on the macroeconomic indicators of India in the long run. This study also finds that the constructed index acts as a relatively more sensitive index in comparison to the International Monetary Fund and World Bank indices, which is bespoke to a developing economy case. This sensitivity is ascribed to dynamic weighting for a different basket of energy components, which are more pertinent to an Indian context.Originality/valueThe novelty of this research lies in the construction of a new index and its comparison to the existing ones. This study justifies why a developing economy would require a different measure of energy as opposed to the existing indices.
机构:
Australian Natl Univ, Crawford Sch Publ Policy, Canberra, ACT, Australia
Univ Econ Ho Chi Minh City UEH, Sch Econ, Ho Chi Minh City, VietnamAustralian Natl Univ, Res Sch Econ, Canberra, ACT, Australia