Systemic risk measured by the resiliency of the system to initial shocks

被引:0
|
作者
Klincic, Luka [1 ]
Zlatic, Vinko [2 ]
Caldarelli, Guido [3 ,4 ,5 ,6 ,7 ]
Stefancic, Hrvoje [8 ]
机构
[1] Univ Zagreb, Fac Sci, Dept Phys, Bijenicka C 32, Zagreb 10000, Croatia
[2] Rudjer Boskovic Inst, Theoret Phys Div, Bijenicka C 54, Zagreb 10000, Croatia
[3] CaFoscari Univ Venice, DMSN, Via Torino 155, I-30172 Venice, Italy
[4] European Ctr Living Technol ECLT, Dorsoduro 3911, I-30123 Venice, Italy
[5] UOS Sapienza, CNR, Inst Complex Syst ISC, Piazzale Aldo Moro 2, I-00185 Rome, Italy
[6] London Inst Math Sci LIMS, London W1K2XF, England
[7] Fdn ilFuturo Citta FFC, Via Boccaccio 50, I-50133 Florence, Italy
[8] Catholic Univ Croatia, Ilica 242, Zagreb 10000, Croatia
关键词
FINANCIAL NETWORKS; CASCADES;
D O I
10.1103/PhysRevE.108.044303
中图分类号
O35 [流体力学]; O53 [等离子体物理学];
学科分类号
070204 ; 080103 ; 080704 ;
摘要
The analysis of systemic risk often revolves around examining various measures utilized by practitioners and policymakers. These measures typically focus on assessing the extent to which external events can impact a financial system, without delving into the nature of the initial shock. In contrast, our approach takes a symmetrical standpoint and introduces a set of measures centered on the quantity of external shock that the system can absorb before experiencing deterioration. To achieve this, we employ a linearized version of DebtRank, which facilitates a clear depiction of the onset of financial distress, thereby enabling accurate estimation of systemic risk. Through the utilization of spectral graph theory, we explicitly compute localized and uniform exogenous shocks, elucidating their behavior. Additionally, we expand the analysis to encompass heterogeneous shocks, necessitating computation via Monte Carlo simulations. We firmly believe that our approach is both comprehensive and intuitive, enabling a standardized assessment of failure risk in financial systems.
引用
收藏
页数:12
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