Atmosphere air temperature forecasting using the honey badger optimization algorithm: on the warmest and coldest areas of the world

被引:10
|
作者
Zhou, Jincheng [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Wang, Dan [2 ,3 ,4 ]
Band, Shahab S. [5 ,8 ]
Mirzania, Ehsan [6 ]
Roshni, Thendiyath [7 ]
机构
[1] Qiannan Normal Univ Nationalities, Sch Comp & Informat, Duyun, Peoples R China
[2] Key Lab Complex Syst & Intelligent Optimizat Guizh, Duyun, Peoples R China
[3] Key Lab Complex Syst & Intelligent Optimizat Qiann, Duyun, Peoples R China
[4] Qiannan Normal Univ Nationalities, Sch Math & Stat, Duyun, Peoples R China
[5] Natl Yunlin Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Future, Future Technol Res Ctr, Touliu, Taiwan
[6] Univ Tabriz, Dept Water Engn, Tabriz, Iran
[7] Natl Inst Technol Patna, Dept Civil Engn, Patna, Bihar, India
[8] Natl Yunlin Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Future, Future Technol Res Ctr, 123 Univ Rd,Sect 3, Touliu 64002, Yunlin, Taiwan
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Air temperature; artificial neural network; forecasting; honey badger algorithm; hybrid model; warmest and coldest regions; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK; PREDICTION; MODEL;
D O I
10.1080/19942060.2023.2174189
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
Precisely forecasting air temperature as a significant meteorological parameter has a critical role in environment quality management. Hence, this study employs a hybrid intelligent model for accurately monthly temperature forecasting for one to three times ahead in the hottest and coldest regions of the world. The hybrid model contains the artificial neural network (ANN) hybridized with the powerful hetaeristic Honey Badger Algorithm (HBA-ANN). The average mutual information (AMI) technique is employed to find the optimal time delay values for the temperature variable for different time horizons. Finally, the performance of the developed hybrid model is compared with the classical ANN and the Gene Expression Programming (GEP) using some statistical criteria, and the Taylor and scatter diagrams. Results indicated that in each time horizon, the HBA-ANN model with the lowest distance from observation points based on Taylor diagram, high values for NSE and R-2, and low values for RMSE, MAE, and RSR outperformed the ANN and GEP models in both training and testing phases. Hence, using the Honey Badger Algorithm could increase the accuracy of the model. This model's precise performance supports the case for it to be employed to forecast other environmental parameters.
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页数:22
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