Total column ozone trends from the NASA Merged Ozone time series 1979 to 2021 showing latitude-dependent ozone recovery dates (1994 to 1998)

被引:0
|
作者
Herman, Jay [1 ]
Ziemke, Jerald [2 ]
Mcpeters, Richard [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Maryland Baltimore Cty, GESTAR 2, Baltimore, MD 21250 USA
[2] Morgan State Univ, GESTAR 2, Baltimore, MD USA
[3] NASA, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Code 614, Greenbelt, MD USA
关键词
LOCALLY WEIGHTED REGRESSION; STRATOSPHERIC OZONE; CLOUD FORMATION; RETURN DATES; DEPLETION; VARIABILITY; CIRCULATION; AIR; AGE;
D O I
10.5194/amt-16-4693-2023
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
Monthly averaged total column ozone data (omega MOD(t,theta)) from the NASA Merged Ozone Data Set (MOD) were examined to show that the latitude-dependent (theta) ozone depletion turnaround dates (TA(theta)) range from 1994 to 1998. TA(theta) is defined as the approximate date when the zonally averaged ozone ceased decreasing. omega MOD data used in this study were created by combining data from Solar Backscattered Ultraviolet instruments (SBUV/SBUV-2) and the Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite (OMPS-NP) from 1979 to 2021. The newly calculated systematic latitude-dependent hemispherically asymmetric TA(theta) shape currently does not appear in the suite of chemistry-climate models that are part of the Chemistry-Climate Model Validation Activity (CCMVal), which combines the effects of photochemistry, volcanic eruptions, and dynamics in their estimate of ozone recovery. Trends of zonally averaged total column ozone in percent per decade were computed before and after TA(theta) using two different trend estimate methods that closely agree, Fourier series multivariate linear regression and linear regression on annual averages. During the period 1979 to TA(theta), the most dramatic rates of Southern Hemisphere (SH) ozone loss were PD=-10.9 +/- 3 % per decade at 77.5 circle S and -8.0 +/- 1.1 % per decade at 65 circle S, which is about double the Northern Hemisphere (NH) rate of loss of PD=-5.6 +/- 4 % per decade at 77.5 circle N and 4.4 +/- 1 % per decade at 65 circle N for the period 1979 to TA(theta). After TA(theta), there was an increase at 65 circle S of PD=1.6 +/- 1.4 % per decade with smaller increases from 55 to 25 circle S and a small decrease at 35 circle N of -0.4 +/- 0.3 % per decade. Except for the Antarctic region, there only has been a small recovery in the SH toward 1979 ozone values and almost none in the NH.
引用
收藏
页码:4693 / 4707
页数:15
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