Regional unemployment dynamics in Indonesia: serial persistence, spatial dependence, and common factors

被引：0
|
作者：
Mendez, Carlos [1 ]
Siregar, Tifani Husna [2 ]
机构：
[1] Nagoya Univ, Grad Sch Int Dev, Nagoya, Japan
[2] Waseda Univ, Sch Polit Sci & Econ, Tokyo, Japan
来源：
LETTERS IN SPATIAL AND RESOURCE SCIENCES | 2023年 / 16卷 / 01期
基金：
日本学术振兴会;
关键词：
Regional unemployment; Cyclical sensitivity; Spatial dependence; Serial persistance; Common factors; Indonesia; C21; E24; E32; R23;
D O I：
10.1007/s12076-023-00364-6
中图分类号：
P9 [自然地理学]; K9 [地理];
学科分类号：
0705 ; 070501 ;
摘要：
We analyze the space-time dynamics of Indonesia's provincial unemployment by simultaneously accounting for their serial persistence, spatial dependence, and common factors. The results show that unemployment rates vary widely across provinces, but have similar patterns over time, indicating the presence of common latent factors. Using the average national unemployment rate as a proxy for common factors, the results indicate that the space-time dynamics of provincial unemployment are characterized by both significant serial persistence and spatial dependence. The results also quantify which regions are most sensitive to national unemployment shocks, providing a deeper understanding of regional unemployment heterogeneity.
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页数：20
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