Exploring precise poverty alleviation policies based on causal inference: a case study from China

被引:0
|
作者
Guo, Qing [1 ]
Liu, Youyang [1 ]
Zhu, Min [2 ]
机构
[1] Guangdong Univ Foreign Studies, Sch Econ & Trade, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
[2] Space Engn Univ, Res Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China
关键词
Breakpoint regression; comparative evaluation; effect assessment; generalized integrated control method; instrumental variables;
D O I
10.1080/13547860.2023.2264091
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
To explore the effect of targeted poverty alleviation policies in Guangdong Province from the perspective of causal inference, this paper conducts quantitative research based on panel data of poverty-stricken counties in Guangdong Province from 2013 to 2020. Specifically, breakpoint regression is used to analyze the initial effect of the policy, instrumental variables are used to analyze the long-term effect of the policy implementation, and finally, the generalized comprehensive control method is used to make a comparative study. The results show that: (1) The targeted poverty alleviation policy in Guangdong Province has a remarkable effect on poverty reduction; (2) The effect of targeted poverty alleviation policy is still remarkable by comparing the implemented policy with the unimplemented one in Guangdong Province; (3) The improvement of market economic activity can effectively promote the increase of farmers' personal net income in poor areas of Guangdong Province.
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收藏
页码:2170 / 2190
页数:21
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