In this article, we estimate trend inflation in Sweden using an unobserved components stochastic volatility model. Using data from 1995Q4 to 2022Q1 and Bayesian estimation methods, we find that trend inflation has been well-anchored during the period-although in general at a level below the inflation target-and it does not appear to have been affected much by the recent high inflation numbers.
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Natl Inst Econ Res, Box 3116, S-10362 Stockholm, SwedenNatl Inst Econ Res, Box 3116, S-10362 Stockholm, Sweden
Lindholm, Unn
Mossfeldt, Marcus
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Natl Inst Econ Res, Box 3116, S-10362 Stockholm, SwedenNatl Inst Econ Res, Box 3116, S-10362 Stockholm, Sweden
Mossfeldt, Marcus
Stockhammar, Par
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Sveriges Riksbank, Brunkebergstorg 11, S-10337 Stockholm, Sweden
Stockholm Univ, Dept Stat, Univ 10B, S-10691 Stockholm, SwedenNatl Inst Econ Res, Box 3116, S-10362 Stockholm, Sweden
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Int Monetary Fund, 1900 Penn Ave NW, Washington, DC 20431 USAInt Monetary Fund, 1900 Penn Ave NW, Washington, DC 20431 USA
Kamber, Gunes
Wong, Benjamin
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Monash Univ, Monash Business Sch, Dept Econometr & Business Stat, Caulfield, Vic 3145, AustraliaInt Monetary Fund, 1900 Penn Ave NW, Washington, DC 20431 USA
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Reserve Bank India, Dept Econ & Policy Res, 7th Floor,Cent Bldg, Mumbai 400001, Maharashtra, IndiaReserve Bank India, Dept Econ & Policy Res, 7th Floor,Cent Bldg, Mumbai 400001, Maharashtra, India
Behera, Harendra Kumar
Patra, Michael Debabrata
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Reserve Bank India, Mumbai 400001, Maharashtra, IndiaReserve Bank India, Dept Econ & Policy Res, 7th Floor,Cent Bldg, Mumbai 400001, Maharashtra, India