Machine learning vs deep learning in stock market investment: an international evidence

被引:6
|
作者
Hao, Jing [1 ]
He, Feng [2 ,3 ]
Ma, Feng [4 ]
Zhang, Shibo [5 ]
Zhang, Xiaotao [5 ]
机构
[1] Capital Univ Econ & Business, Sch Management & Engn, Beijing 100070, Peoples R China
[2] Capital Univ Econ & Business, Sch Finance, Beijing 100070, Peoples R China
[3] Loboratory Fintech & Risk Management, Tianjin 300222, Peoples R China
[4] Southwest Jiaotong Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Chengdu 610031, Peoples R China
[5] Tianjin Univ, Coll Management & Econ, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Machine learning; Deep learning; Quantitative investment; Arbitrage; RANDOM-WALK HYPOTHESIS; NEURAL-NETWORKS; CLASSIFICATION; INDEXES;
D O I
10.1007/s10479-023-05286-6
中图分类号
C93 [管理学]; O22 [运筹学];
学科分类号
070105 ; 12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
Machine learning and deep learning are powerful tools for quantitative investment. To examine the effectiveness of the models in different markets, this paper applies random forest and DNN models to forecast stock prices and construct statistical arbitrage strategies in five stock markets, including mainland China, the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada and Japan. Each model is applied to the price of major stock indices constituting stocks in these markets from 2005 to 2020 to construct a long-short portfolio with 20 selected stocks by the model. The results show that the a particular model obtains significantly different profits in different markets, among which DNN has the best performance, especially in the Chinese stock market. We find that DNN models generally perform better than other machine learning models in all markets.
引用
收藏
页数:23
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