Fiscal policy was more countercyclical during the Covid-19 crisis than in previous (crisis) episodes. This paper presents empirical evidence in favour of a "this time truly is different'' moment based on analysing the cyclical behaviour of fiscal policy for 28 advanced economies over 1995-2021. Discretionary fiscal policy during the Covid-19 crisis (2020-2021) did more to counteract the downturn - especially in the Eurozone -, as we do not find comparable evidence for countercyclicality during the financial crisis or Euro crisis. Automatic fiscal stabilisers, the non-discretionary domain of fiscal policy, significantly contributed to countercyclical stabilisation during the pandemic.
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Penn State Univ, Ctr Social Data Analyt, University Pk, PA 16802 USAPenn State Univ, Ctr Social Data Analyt, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
Tai, Yuehong
Yao, Jielu
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Wesleyan Univ, Wesleyan Media Project, Middletown, CT USA
Wesleyan Univ, Quantitat Anal Ctr, Middletown, CT USAPenn State Univ, Ctr Social Data Analyt, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
Yao, Jielu
Pizzi, Elise
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Univ Iowa, Dept Polit Sci, Iowa City, IA 52242 USAPenn State Univ, Ctr Social Data Analyt, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
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Lincoln Univ, Dept Financial & Business Syst, Lincoln 7647, New Zealand
Shaheed Benazir Bhutto Univ, Shaheed Benazirabad 67450, PakistanNatl Econ Univ, Sch Banking & Finance, Hanoi 11616, Vietnam
Arif, Muhammad
Nguyen, Cuong
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Lincoln Univ, Dept Financial & Business Syst, Lincoln 7647, New Zealand
IPAG Business Sch, Paris, FranceNatl Econ Univ, Sch Banking & Finance, Hanoi 11616, Vietnam