台风作用下核电站海岸防护标准的概率分析

被引:5
|
作者
刘德辅
韩凤亭
庞亮
王风清
机构
[1] 中国海洋大学工程学院
关键词
台风; 核电站; 海岸工程; 规范修正; 双层嵌套多目标概率模式;
D O I
10.16441/j.cnki.hdxb.2010.06.023
中图分类号
TM623.8 [环境与安全]; P444 [热带气象];
学科分类号
摘要
随着全球气候变暖和海平面上升,台风发生的频次和强度呈逐年增大的趋势。由台风引发的灾害及带来的后果促使人们必须重新评估核电站的海岸防护标准。文中对核电安全规定中的"可能最大台风"(Probable Maximum Typhoon)、"可能最大暴潮"(Probable Maximum Storm Surge)、"设计基准洪水"(Design Basic Flood)进行了概率分析,并用"双层嵌套多目标概率模式"(DLNMPM)对设计规范计算结果进行了修正。
引用
收藏
页码:140 / 146
页数:7
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