Quantifying age-specific household contacts in Aotearoa New Zealand for infectious disease modelling
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作者:
Sullivan, Caleb
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机构:
Univ Canterbury, Sch Math & Stat, Christchurch, New ZealandUniv Canterbury, Sch Math & Stat, Christchurch, New Zealand
Sullivan, Caleb
[1
]
Senanayake, Pubudu
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机构:
Univ Canterbury, Sch Math & Stat, Christchurch, New Zealand
Stats NZ, Christchurch, New ZealandUniv Canterbury, Sch Math & Stat, Christchurch, New Zealand
Senanayake, Pubudu
[1
,2
]
Plank, Michael J.
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机构:
Univ Canterbury, Sch Math & Stat, Christchurch, New ZealandUniv Canterbury, Sch Math & Stat, Christchurch, New Zealand
Plank, Michael J.
[1
]
机构:
[1] Univ Canterbury, Sch Math & Stat, Christchurch, New Zealand
agent-based model;
compartment-based model;
contact matrix;
epidemic;
public health;
TRANSMISSION;
D O I:
10.1098/rsos.240550
中图分类号:
O [数理科学和化学];
P [天文学、地球科学];
Q [生物科学];
N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号:
07 ;
0710 ;
09 ;
摘要:
Accounting for population age structure and age-specific contact patterns is crucial for accurate modelling of human infectious disease dynamics and impact. A common approach is to use contact matrices, which estimate the number of contacts between individuals of different ages. These contact matrices are frequently based on data collected from populations with very different demographic and socio-economic characteristics from the population of interest. Here we use a comprehensive household composition dataset based on Aotearoa New Zealand census and administrative data to construct a household contact matrix and a synthetic population that can be used for modelling. We investigate the behaviour of a compartment-based and an agent-based epidemic model parametrized using these data, compared with a commonly used contact matrix that was constructed by projecting international data onto New Zealand's population. We find that using the New Zealand household data, either in a compartment-based model or in an agent-based model, leads to lower attack rates in older age groups compared with using the projected contact matrix. This difference becomes larger when household transmission is more dominant relative to non-household transmission. We provide electronic versions of the synthetic population and household contact matrix for other researchers to use in infectious disease models.
机构:
Natl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Dolla, Chandra Kumar
Padmapriyadarsini, Chandrasekaran
论文数: 0引用数: 0
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ICMR Natl Inst Res TB, Dept Clin Res, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Padmapriyadarsini, Chandrasekaran
Thiruvengadam, Kannan
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Natl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Thiruvengadam, Kannan
Lokhande, Rahul
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Byramjee Jeejeebhoy Govt Med Coll, Pulm Med, Pune, Maharashtra, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Lokhande, Rahul
Kinikar, Aarti
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Byramjee Jeejeebhoy Govt Med Coll, Paediat, Pune, Maharashtra, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Kinikar, Aarti
Paradkar, Mandar
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Johns Hopkins Univ, Byramjee Jeejeebhoy Govt Med Coll, Clin Trial Unit, Clin Res Site, Pune, Maharashtra, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Paradkar, Mandar
Shrinivas, B. M.
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机构:
ICMR Natl Inst Res TB, Dept Clin Res, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Shrinivas, B. M.
Murali, Lakshmi
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h-index: 0
机构:
Dist TB Off, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Murali, Lakshmi
Gupte, Akshay
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Johns Hopkins Sch Med, Publ Hlth, Baltimore, MD USANatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Gupte, Akshay
Gaikwad, Sanjay
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Byramjee Jeejeebhoy Govt Med Coll, Pulm Med, Pune, Maharashtra, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Gaikwad, Sanjay
Selvaraju, Sriram
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h-index: 0
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Natl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Selvaraju, Sriram
Padmanaban, Yashoda
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
ICMR Natl Inst Res TB, Dept Clin Res, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Padmanaban, Yashoda
Pattabiraman, Sathyamurthy
论文数: 0引用数: 0
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ICMR Natl Inst Res TB, Dept Clin Res, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Pattabiraman, Sathyamurthy
Pradhan, Neeta
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Johns Hopkins Univ, Byramjee Jeejeebhoy Govt Med Coll, Clin Trial Unit, Clin Res Site, Pune, Maharashtra, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Pradhan, Neeta
Kulkarni, Vandana
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Johns Hopkins Univ, Byramjee Jeejeebhoy Govt Med Coll, Clin Trial Unit, Clin Res Site, Pune, Maharashtra, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Kulkarni, Vandana
Shivakumar, Shri Vijay Bala Yogendra
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Johns Hopkins Univ, India Off, CCGHE, Pune, Maharashtra, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Shivakumar, Shri Vijay Bala Yogendra
Prithivi, Munivardhan
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Natl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Prithivi, Munivardhan
Kagal, Anju
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Byramjee Jeejeebhoy Govt Med Coll, Microbiol, Pune, Maharashtra, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Kagal, Anju
Karthavarayan, Barath Thopili
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Natl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Karthavarayan, Barath Thopili
Suryavanshi, Nishi
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Johns Hopkins Univ, Byramjee Jeejeebhoy Govt Med Coll, Clin Trial Unit, Clin Res Site, Pune, Maharashtra, India
Johns Hopkins Sch Med, Publ Hlth, Baltimore, MD USANatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Suryavanshi, Nishi
Gupte, Nikhil
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Johns Hopkins Univ, Byramjee Jeejeebhoy Govt Med Coll, Clin Trial Unit, Clin Res Site, Pune, Maharashtra, India
Johns Hopkins Sch Med, Publ Hlth, Baltimore, MD USANatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Gupte, Nikhil
Kumaran, Paul
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Natl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, IndiaNatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Kumaran, Paul
Mave, Vidya
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Johns Hopkins Univ, Byramjee Jeejeebhoy Govt Med Coll, Clin Trial Unit, Clin Res Site, Pune, Maharashtra, India
Johns Hopkins Sch Med, Publ Hlth, Baltimore, MD USANatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
Mave, Vidya
Gupta, Amita
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Johns Hopkins Sch Med, Publ Hlth, Baltimore, MD USANatl Inst Res TB, Epidemiol, 1 Mayor Sathyamoorthy Rd, Chennai 600031, Tamil Nadu, India
机构:
Palmerston North Hosp, Dept Ophthalmol, Te Whatu Ora Hlth New Zealand, MidCent, Palmerston North, New Zealand
Palmerston North Hosp, Dept Ophthalmol, Te Whatu Ora Hlth New Zealand, MidCent, Palmerston North, New ZealandPalmerston North Hosp, Dept Ophthalmol, Te Whatu Ora Hlth New Zealand, MidCent, Palmerston North, New Zealand
Lewis, James S.
Roskruge, Matthew
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Massey Univ, Massey Business Sch, Albany, New ZealandPalmerston North Hosp, Dept Ophthalmol, Te Whatu Ora Hlth New Zealand, MidCent, Palmerston North, New Zealand
Roskruge, Matthew
Ah-Chan, John
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Palmerston North Hosp, Dept Ophthalmol, Te Whatu Ora Hlth New Zealand, MidCent, Palmerston North, New ZealandPalmerston North Hosp, Dept Ophthalmol, Te Whatu Ora Hlth New Zealand, MidCent, Palmerston North, New Zealand
机构:
London Metropolitan Univ, London, England
Queens Univ Canada, Kingston, ON, Canada
Bader Int Study Ctr, Herstmonceux Castle, EnglandLondon Metropolitan Univ, London, England
机构:
Univ Otago, Dept Primary Hlth Care & Gen Practice, POB 7343, Wellington 6242, New ZealandUniv Otago, Dept Primary Hlth Care & Gen Practice, POB 7343, Wellington 6242, New Zealand
Garrett, Susan M.
Imlach, Fiona
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Migraine Fdn Aotearoa New Zealand, Meadowbank, Auckland, New ZealandUniv Otago, Dept Primary Hlth Care & Gen Practice, POB 7343, Wellington 6242, New Zealand