Health care utilization among Medicare beneficiaries with newly diagnosed back pain

Background: Low back pain (LBP) is the most common medical cause of disability among adults 65 or older. No previous study has characterized health care costs and treatment patterns of LBP among Medicare beneficiaries. Methods: This retrospective cohort study quantifies health care utilization costs among Medicare beneficiaries with newly diagnosed LBP, compares costs between patients managed operatively and nonoperatively, identifies costs associated with treatment guideline nonadherence, and characterizes opioid prescribing patterns. Patients were queried via ICD codes from a 20% random sample of Medicare claims records. Patients with concomitant or previous "red flag " diagnoses, neurological deficits, or diagnoses that could cause nondegenerative LBP were excluded. Total costs of care in the year of diagnosis were calculated and stratified by operative versus nonoperative management. To assess for guideline adherence, utilization and costs of different services were tabulated. Opioid prescription patterns were characterized by quantity, cost, duration, and medication type. Results: About 1,269,896 patients were identified; 23,919 (1.8%) underwent surgery. These accounted for 7% of the cohort's total cost ($514 million total, $21,496 per person). Patients treated nonoperatively accounted for over $7 billion in costs ($5,880 per person; p < .001). Within the nonoperative cohort, 626,896 (50.3%) patients were nonadherent to current guidelines for conservative management of LBP. Guideline nonadherence increased total annual costs by $4,012 per person ($7,873 for nonadherent vs. $3,861 for adherent patients, p < .001). About 460,867 opioid prescriptions were filled for 303,796 unique patients (23.9%) within 30 days of LBP diagnosis. Within the nonsurgical cohort, patients nonadherent to imaging guidelines were more likely to have an opioid prescription within this window than adherent patients (26.5% vs. 21.2%; p < .001). Conclusions: Nonoperative management of LBP is associated with significantly lower costs per patient. Early imaging and opioid prescription are significant drivers of excess cost. Adherence to proposed treatment guidelines can save over $2.8 billion in total health care costs.