Statistics of self-focusing induced by a stochastic laser driver is shown to converge, in the large-sample-size limit, to a generalized Poisson distribution whose mean is given by the exponent of the respective extreme-value statistics. For a given ratio of the laser peak power to the self-focusing threshold P cr , the mean number of self-focusing counts in a large sample of laser pulses is shown to depend on the number of pulses in the sample, N , and the signal-to-noise ratio of laser pulses, a . We derive a closed-form solution for the threshold of stochastic self-focusing, which, unlike its deterministic counterpart, P cr , is a function of the sample size N and the signal-to-noise ratio a . The parameter N a = exp (a2/2) is shown to set a borderline between the deterministic and stochastic regimes of self-focusing. When the number of laser pulses in a sample becomes comparable to N a , self- focusing can no longer be viewed as deterministic even for high signal-to-noise laser beams. (c) 2024 Optica Publishing Group