A dual-optimization building energy prediction framework based on improved dung beetle algorithm, variational mode decomposition and deep learning

Accurately predicting building energy consumption is essential for enhancing energy utilization efficiency in buildings. However, the inherent volatility and noise in building energy data, caused by diverse user behaviors and potential sensor errors, make significant challenges to energy consumption prediction. To address these issues, a dual-optimization framework (IDBO-VMD-IDBO-BiLSTM) for building energy consumption prediction, which incorporates improved dung beetle optimization algorithm (IDBO), variational mode decomposition (VMD), and bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM), was proposed. In this framework, IDBO firstly optimizes the VMD by adaptively determining its optimal parameters to decompose the original building energy consumption series into multiple intrinsic modal functions (IMFs) with smoother characteristics, thereby the effect of mitigating data noise. Then, each IMF component is predicted using the BiLSTM model, with IDBO selecting the optimal hyperparameters for BiLSTM. Finally, the individual predictions of each IMF are superimposed and reconstructed to yield the final predictions. To verify the framework's effectiveness, real energy consumption data from an office building in Shanghai was collected and analyzed in a comprehensive comparison with seven other comparative models. Experimental results suggested that the proposed framework outperformed the comparative models in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean absolute error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R2), showing both high predictive accuracy and strong robustness. Therefore, the proposed framework can be an effective tool for predicting building energy consumption.