Exploratory analysis framework research for weapon system of systems evaluation

Weapon system of system evaluation belongs to high-level decision-making, and it is necessary to consider a lot of uncertainty environments and factors. Exploratory analysis is an agility analysis method combine multi- knowledge and multi-methodology. For deal with uncertainty problem of weapon system of system evaluation, a framework was brought forward. The exploratory analysis framework includes gain various knowledge, exploratory analysis modeling, uncertainty management and experiment analysis, finally sustains a robust decision-making. Exploratory analysis modeling is the most important part of the framework, and it includes an analysis modeling based on extend influence diagram and motivated meta-models; finally the framework has applied for air force campaign exploratory analysis.