Scale- and Variable-Dependent Localization for 3DEnVar Data Assimilation in the Rapid Refresh Forecast System

被引:0
|
作者
Yokota, Sho [1 ,2 ]
Carley, Jacob R. [3 ]
Lei, Ting [3 ,4 ]
Liu, Shun [3 ]
Kleist, Daryl T. [3 ]
Wang, Yongming [5 ]
Wang, Xuguang [5 ]
机构
[1] Japan Meteorol Agcy, Numer Predict Dev Ctr, Tsukuba, Japan
[2] Japan Meteorol Agcy, Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Japan
[3] NOAA, NWS, NCEP, Environm Modeling Ctr, College Pk, MD USA
[4] Lynker, College Pk, MD USA
[5] Univ Oklahoma, Norman, OK USA
关键词
numerical weather prediction; data assimilation; localization; recursive filter; precipitation; ENSEMBLE KALMAN FILTER; ERROR COVARIANCE LOCALIZATION; HOURLY ASSIMILATION; PART I; MODEL; PREDICTION; CYCLE; CONFIGURATIONS; IMPLEMENTATION; WSR-88D;
D O I
10.1029/2023MS004098
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
This study demonstrates the advantages of scale- and variable-dependent localization (SDL and VDL) on three-dimensional ensemble variational data assimilation of the hourly-updated high-resolution regional forecast system, the Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS). SDL and VDL apply different localization radii for each spatial scale and variable, respectively, by extended control vectors. Single-observation assimilation tests and cycling experiments with RRFS indicated that SDL can enlarge the localization radius without increasing the sampling error caused by the small ensemble size and decreased associated imbalance of the analysis field, which was effective at decreasing the bias of temperature and humidity forecasts. Moreover, simultaneous assimilation of conventional and radar reflectivity data with VDL, where a smaller localization radius was applied only for hydrometeors and vertical wind, improved precipitation forecasts without introducing noisy analysis increments. Statistical verification showed that these impacts contributed to forecast error reduction, especially for low-level temperature and heavy precipitation.
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页数:24
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