A graph attention network with spatio-temporal wind propagation graph for wind power ramp events prediction

被引:2
|
作者
Peng, Xinghao [1 ]
Li, Yanting [1 ]
Tsung, Fugee [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
[2] Department of Industrial Engineering and Decision Analytics, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong
[3] Information Hub, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou), Guangzhou, China
关键词
The increasing penetration rate of wind power underscores the necessity for accurate forecasting and alerting of wind power ramp events (WPREs); given the unpredictable nature of wind. This article presents a novel approach to predicting WPREs; emphasizing the complexities of wind propagation across multiple locations; in contrast to traditional single-site analyses. By integrating a wind propagation graph into a Graph Attention Network (GAT); the prediction of ramp events is significantly enhanced. The efficacy of this approach is validated through comprehensive case studies utilizing the Spatial Dynamic Wind Power Forecasting (SDWPF) dataset from the Baidu KDD Cup 2022 and the WIND toolkit dataset from NREL; demonstrating superior results at both the wind turbine and wind farm scales. © 2024 Elsevier Ltd;
D O I
10.1016/j.renene.2024.121280
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
引用
收藏
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Spatio-temporal propagation of wind power prediction errors
    Girard, Robin
    Allard, Denis
    WIND ENERGY, 2013, 16 (07) : 999 - 1012
  • [2] A robust spatio-temporal prediction approach for wind power generation based on spectral temporal graph neural network
    He, Yuqin
    Chai, Songjian
    Zhao, Jian
    Sun, Yuxin
    Zhang, Xian
    IET RENEWABLE POWER GENERATION, 2022, 16 (12) : 2556 - 2565
  • [3] Interpretable Power Output Prediction of Multiple Wind Turbines for Offshore Wind Farm Based on Multiple Spatio-temporal Attention Graph Neural Network Model
    Su X.
    Nie L.
    Li C.
    Mi Y.
    Fu Y.
    Dong Z.
    Dianli Xitong Zidonghua/Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2023, 47 (09): : 88 - 98
  • [4] Spatio-temporal graph cross-correlation auto-encoding network for wind power prediction
    Yu, Ruiguo
    Sun, Yingzhou
    He, Dongxiao
    Gao, Jie
    Liu, Zhiqiang
    Yu, Mei
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MACHINE LEARNING AND CYBERNETICS, 2024, 15 (01) : 51 - 63
  • [5] Spatio-temporal graph cross-correlation auto-encoding network for wind power prediction
    Ruiguo Yu
    Yingzhou Sun
    Dongxiao He
    Jie Gao
    Zhiqiang Liu
    Mei Yu
    International Journal of Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2024, 15 : 51 - 63
  • [6] Dynamic graph structure and spatio-temporal representations in wind power forecasting
    Zang, Peng
    Dong, Wenqi
    Wang, Jing
    Fu, Jianglong
    SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY FOR ENERGY TRANSITION, 2025, 80
  • [7] Traffic Prediction Model Based on Spatio-temporal Graph Attention Network
    Chen, Jing
    Wang, Linkai
    Wang, Wei
    Song, Ruizhuo
    2022 4TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CONTROL AND ROBOTICS, ICCR, 2022, : 428 - 432
  • [8] Interpretable multi-graph convolution network integrating spatio-temporal attention and dynamic combination for wind power forecasting
    Zhao, Yongning
    Liao, Haohan
    Pan, Shiji
    Zhao, Yuan
    EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2024, 255
  • [9] A Unified Graph Formulation for Spatio-Temporal Wind Forecasting
    Bentsen, Lars odegaard
    Warakagoda, Narada Dilp
    Stenbro, Roy
    Engelstad, Paal
    ENERGIES, 2023, 16 (20)
  • [10] A multi-task spatio-temporal fusion network for offshore wind power ramp events forecasting
    Song, Weiye
    Yan, Jie
    Han, Shuang
    Liu, Shihua
    Wang, Han
    Dai, Qiangsheng
    Huo, Xuesong
    Liu, Yongqian
    RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2024, 237