On the linear response theory of vortex meandering and its statistical verification in experiments

Meandering designates the main manifestation of unsteady vortex dynamics observed in experiments. This study has the twofold objective to (i) develop a theoretical model describing vortex meandering and (ii) conduct a quantitative and objective evaluation of the model against experimental data. Based on an analogy with Brownian motion, we derive the theoretical model in the framework of linear response theory. Taking the form of a Langevin equation, our model explains meandering as the competition between external excitation by free-stream perturbations, counteracted by stabilising intrinsic vortex dynamics. As such, it contains the previous approaches to explaining the phenomenon as limiting cases, and clearly highlights their shortcomings. The statistical identification of characteristic regularities in experimental data as well as the assessment of their consistency with theoretical models are important problems in physics. For samples obtained from finite-length records of correlated data, these statistical characteristics are not unique and may show spurious behaviour merely induced by the finiteness of the sample. Statistical inference provides a systematic and quantitative methodology to objectively assess the reproducibility of statistical characteristics and to evaluate their consistency with theoretical models. Their systematic application to the analysis of vortex meandering has not been done before and provides statistical evidence for our proposed Brownian-motion-like model. That is, experimental vortex meandering constitutes the manifestation of a stationary Gauss-Markov random process, which implies that the dynamics admits an ergodic probability measure.