Nubian aquifer linkage to the High Aswan Dam Reservoir: Initial assessments of processes and challenges

Egypt, relying heavily on the Nile as its primary water resource, is facing a rising water budget deficit due to increasing consumption, hydroclimatic changes, and upstream river damming. To address the above, innovative management of High Aswan Dam Reservoir (HADR), the third largest artificial reservoir on Earth, and its exchange with the surrounding groundwater system is suggested to develop new agricultural areas. However, the interconnectivity mechanism between the HADR and the fossil Nubian aquifer, the largest transboundary aquifer in Africa, remains speculative due to the lack of in-situ investigations. To address this deficiency, we perform a geophysical survey using aeromagnetic, time-domain electromagnetic, and vertical electrical resistivity sounding in a 330 km(2) pilot area to the northwest of the HADR that is hypothesized to have a dense fracture system that could act as a conduit between these two large water bodies. Our survey results show the presence of normal faults cross the reservoir to the tangential basement and the sedimentary cover that are water-saturated and act as recharges to the Nubian fossil aquifer. These in-situ investigations confirm previous orbital gravity observations by GRACE-FO hypothesizing the interconnectivity between the reservoir and the Nubian aquifer, which was subject to debate. We suggest that such connecting areas between these two water bodies can be optimal sites for future agricultural development using improved management of surface water-groundwater exchanges for irrigation. Finally, our findings highlight upcoming challenges for this linkage if the level of HADR reaches below similar to 160 m above mean sea level (amsl) due to upstream dam operation during the Nile's extended drought periods. Under these conditions, the Nubian aquifer could discharge back into the HADR at the investigated site, changing the water budget of the aquifer and compromising the planned agriculture developments in the adjacent areas, which account for similar to 10 % of the total arable land in Egypt.