Climate, Health Impacts, and Social Costs of Electric Vehicles in China: A Cost-Benefit Analysis

被引：0
|
作者：
Hu Y. [1 ]
Jin Y. [2 ,3 ]
Zhang S. [1 ]
机构：
[1] College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing
[2] Environmental Defense Fund, New York
[3] William & Mary, Williamsburg, 23185, VA
来源：
Beijing Daxue Xuebao (Ziran Kexue Ban)/Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis | 2021年 / 57卷 / 05期
关键词：
Climate impacts; Cost-benefit analysis; Electric vehicles; Fuel vehicles; Health impacts;
D O I：
10.13209/j.0479-8023.2021.068
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
By applying the probabilistic benefit-cost analysis with Monte Carlo simulation, this study reveals the energy- and life-cycle climate and pollution-related health impacts, and various social costs in China of gasoline-to-electric vehicle (GV-to-EV) substitutions. Key factors influencing these estimates are also elicited. Results indicate that a GV-to-EV substitution can annually achieve benefits of 324 yuan on climate, 343 yuan on health, and 4315 yuan on energy savings in the energy cycle under current technical conditions and the dynamics of power grid development. However, these benefits are offset by the incremental manufacturing cost (16000 yuan/car-year), and the social welfare improvement over the life cycle is negative in the short run. This study highlights the impor-tance of prioritizing GV-to-EV substitutions only in areas with high health, climate, and energy-saving benefits. © 2021 Peking University.
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页码：916 / 926
页数：10
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